Facing disappointment in its long-stalled Su‑35 deal with Russia, Iran is accelerating negotiations with China to purchase Chengdu J‑10C “Vigorous Dragon” fighter jets, military analysts report .
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Iran is impressed by the performance of the J-10C in the Pakistan Air Force. |
Su‑35 deal collapses
Originally announced in September 2022, Iran’s plan to acquire Su‑35s—reportedly redirected from Egypt—has yet to result in a single delivery, leaving Tehran increasingly frustrated. Moscow’s repeated delays, possibly tied to Russian call-ups in Ukraine and strategic bargaining, have prompted Iran to reconsider its procurement strategy.
Pivot to J‑10C
In response, Iran is turning to China’s J‑10C, a 4.5-generation multirole fighter already combat-tested in the hands of the Pakistan Air Force. Analysts credit the jet—and more importantly, its long-range PL‑15E missiles—with downing three Indian Rafales and other aircraft during a recent India‑Pakistan confrontation. Tehran views the J‑10C as a proven, cost-effective alternative amid increasing regional tensions following a 12‑day conflict with Israel.
Advanced capabilities
The J‑10C combines a modern AESA radar, digital fly‑by‑wire controls, and agile canard–delta aerodynamic design. Powered by China’s WS‑10B engine and compatible with the advanced PL‑15E BVR missiles, the jet promises substantial air‑to‑air reach—up to 145 km on the export missile variant.
Deal details & strategic calculus
Tehran previously explored J‑10C acquisitions in 2015, but negotiations stumbled due to financial disagreements and UN sanctions; talks resumed after the embargo lift in 2020. Reports indicate discussions now focus on pricing, delivery timing, and potential tech‑transfer clauses following Iran’s defense minister’s visit to China for the SCO summit.
Why it matters
With its aging fleet—dominated by F‑4s, MiG‑29s, and even F‑14 Tomcats—suffering up to 30 % losses in the recent Israel conflict, Iran is desperate for modern aerial capacity. The J‑10C could help close the gap with regional opponents like Israel and Saudi Arabia, though the F‑35I platform remains a formidable challenge.
🚀 Bottom line
Iran is shifting gears from Russian to Chinese defense partnerships, embracing the J‑10C as a credible and pragmatic path to modernize its air force. As negotiations intensify, the deal’s structure and execution timeline warrant close attention.
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